Weather Warnings Update – 31 DECEMBER 25 Severe weather continues across northern Australia, with heavy to locally intense rainfall and ongoing flood warnings across parts of Queensland, the Northern Territory and Western Australia. Very high rainfall totals have been recorded near the North Tropical Coast, with further rainfall likely. If you are in an affected area, please stay informed and follow official warnings from the Bureau of Meteorology and emergency services. If you do not need to tr
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Weather Warnings Update – 31 DECEMBER 25 Severe weather continues across northern Australia, with heavy to locally intense rainfall and ongoing flood warnings across parts of Queensland, the Northern Territory and Western Australia. Very high rainfall totals have been recorded near the North Tropical Coast, with further rainfall likely. If you are in an affected area, please stay informed and follow official warnings from the Bureau of Meteorology and emergency services. If you do not need to tr
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National Weather Risks: 9–10 July 2025 A high-impact frontal system continues to move across southern Australia, bringing damaging winds, gale-force marine warnings, sheep graziers alerts, and blizzard risks in alpine zones. Western Australia • Gale Warnings: Esperance & Eucla Coasts (9 July) • Strong Winds: Pilbara Coasts, Ningaloo, Leeuwin, Albany (through 10 July) • Damaging winds easing over Israelite Bay, Eucla this morning. Gusts up to 100 km/h occurred ahead of the front. • Moisture feed
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National Weather Risks: 9–10 July 2025 A high-impact frontal system continues to move across southern Australia, bringing damaging winds, gale-force marine warnings, sheep graziers alerts, and blizzard risks in alpine zones. Western Australia • Gale Warnings: Esperance & Eucla Coasts (9 July) • Strong Winds: Pilbara Coasts, Ningaloo, Leeuwin, Albany (through 10 July) • Damaging winds easing over Israelite Bay, Eucla this morning. Gusts up to 100 km/h occurred ahead of the front. • Moisture feed
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High Energy Atmosphere: Coronal Hole Returns, Zonal Winds Anomalies & Rainfall Builds. Australia is entering a critical convergence point in the climate system, where solar forces, upper atmospheric shifts, and surface-level weather patterns are all aligning. The outcome? A heightened potential for enhanced rainfall and atmospheric instability as we close out the April cycle and look toward May. ☀️ Solar Activity – A Familiar Coronal Hole Returns A large Southern Hemisphere coronal hole has rota
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High Energy Atmosphere: Coronal Hole Returns, Zonal Winds Anomalies & Rainfall Builds. Australia is entering a critical convergence point in the climate system, where solar forces, upper atmospheric shifts, and surface-level weather patterns are all aligning. The outcome? A heightened potential for enhanced rainfall and atmospheric instability as we close out the April cycle and look toward May. ☀️ Solar Activity – A Familiar Coronal Hole Returns A large Southern Hemisphere coronal hole has rota
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Over the past few days, we’ve seen a good run of rain across coastal eastern Australia, and thankfully some decent falls inland across the southeast interior too. Across New South Wales and Victoria, widespread totals between 5 and 30mm have been recorded, while parts of southeast Queensland have seen up to 200mm. Along the southeast coast, falls of 20 to 100mm or more have also been registered. Today we’ll see a general clearing across the southeast as the cut-off low moves off into the Tasman.
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Over the past few days, we’ve seen a good run of rain across coastal eastern Australia, and thankfully some decent falls inland across the southeast interior too. Across New South Wales and Victoria, widespread totals between 5 and 30mm have been recorded, while parts of southeast Queensland have seen up to 200mm. Along the southeast coast, falls of 20 to 100mm or more have also been registered. Today we’ll see a general clearing across the southeast as the cut-off low moves off into the Tasman.
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Weather Discussion l Update 11 December 2025 Australia is now transitioning out of the recent wet peak of Spring in November and returning to more traditional seasonal patterns. National heat is building, southern Australia is resuming its typical early-summer drying, and tropical activity is beginning to lift across the north. A reminder for southeastern Australia: computer models will continue to overstate rainfall because drought conditions suppress genuine moisture production. Dry thundersto
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Weather Discussion l Update 11 December 2025 Australia is now transitioning out of the recent wet peak of Spring in November and returning to more traditional seasonal patterns. National heat is building, southern Australia is resuming its typical early-summer drying, and tropical activity is beginning to lift across the north. A reminder for southeastern Australia: computer models will continue to overstate rainfall because drought conditions suppress genuine moisture production. Dry thundersto
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After heavy storms and up to 100mm across southern WA, conditions are easing – but not for long. Tropical Low 29U is on track to become Tropical Cyclone Errol in the next 24–48 hours, with impacts returning to the southwest late April as Ex-Errol combines with a new system. Meanwhile, the east isn’t missing out – a front and upper trough around 21–25 April will bring patchy storms and showers to VIC, SE SA, southern NSW and SEQ. And don’t forget the northeast trough still lurking, now looking to
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After heavy storms and up to 100mm across southern WA, conditions are easing – but not for long. Tropical Low 29U is on track to become Tropical Cyclone Errol in the next 24–48 hours, with impacts returning to the southwest late April as Ex-Errol combines with a new system. Meanwhile, the east isn’t missing out – a front and upper trough around 21–25 April will bring patchy storms and showers to VIC, SE SA, southern NSW and SEQ. And don’t forget the northeast trough still lurking, now looking to
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⚠️ Weather Update – 15 January 2026 Issued 10:40 am AEST | Oz Industries Forecasting A dynamic week ahead across Australia as multiple troughs and lows interact with deep tropical moisture and strengthening ridges on both coasts. National Overview A broad inland trough extends across western and northern Australia, feeding tropical moisture eastward into Queensland and New South Wales. The Tasman Sea ridge continues to drive an onshore easterly flow, ensuring a humid and unstable atmosphere over
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⚠️ Weather Update – 15 January 2026 Issued 10:40 am AEST | Oz Industries Forecasting A dynamic week ahead across Australia as multiple troughs and lows interact with deep tropical moisture and strengthening ridges on both coasts. National Overview A broad inland trough extends across western and northern Australia, feeding tropical moisture eastward into Queensland and New South Wales. The Tasman Sea ridge continues to drive an onshore easterly flow, ensuring a humid and unstable atmosphere over
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⚠️ SEVERE WEATHER WARNING – DAMAGING WINDS 24 June 2025 A cold front ahead of a complex low over the Bight is driving a vigorous westerly system across southern South Australia. Damaging winds are expected today and into early Wednesday. Areas Affected: Adelaide Metro, Mount Lofty Ranges, Kangaroo Island, Upper & Lower South East, parts of Yorke Peninsula, Flinders, Mid North, Murraylands, Riverland, and NE Pastoral. Wind Forecast:• Today (Tuesday): West to NW winds averaging 50–60 km/h– Damagin
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Storms are firing across eastern Australia with severe potential — damaging winds, hail, and heavy downpours in the mix. As this system clears into the weekend, a drying and heating phase builds from the north and west, pre seeding the atmosphere ahead of the major October cycle (11–17th). This next fortnight is the “loading phase” — heat building inland, the tropics stirring, moisture and heat accumulate in the NW interior and the stage being set for a powerful spring event due from week 2 of O
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🌧️ Weather Bulletin – Tuesday, 1 April 2025 March Major Cycle Continues into Early April Australia remains under the influence of the prolonged March Major Weather Cycle, officially spanning from 18 March to 7 April. This pattern continues to deliver significant impacts across multiple states as the cycle nears its final week. 🌀 Current Key Features: Tasman Low: A powerful Tasman Sea low is dominating conditions off New South Wales, responsible for enhanced coastal winds and unsettled seas. 🌊
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National Weather Overview: May–June Transition Intensifies Issued: 20 May 2025 | Valid through: 24 May 2025 Australia is now entering a critical transitional phase as severe coastal weather, ongoing flood risks, and the anticipated June National Wet Period begin to overlap across the country. ⚠️ Severe Weather Hits NSW: Flash Flooding & Dangerous Surf A Severe Weather Warning remains in effect for HEAVY, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL across the Mid North Coast, as well as parts of the Hunter, Norther
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Althaus Creek Townsville | Oz Industries Forecasting Weather Oz
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🌀 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN – TROPICAL & INTERIOR RAINFALL EVENT Issued: 22 March 2025 A welcome reprieve from the persistent rainfall across northeast Queensland is currently underway, but significant weather risks remain as the Monsoon Trough intensifies across the Top End and Arafura Sea. 🔹 Tropical Low 27U (TL27U) has developed strong convective structure and is expected to track westward across northern Australia. Forecast models indicate a potential path through the Kimberley, Pilbara, and
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🛑 TOP PRIORITY – SEVERE WEATHER WARNING 🛑 ⚠️ HEAVY, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL & DAMAGING WINDS ⚠️ 📍 For parts of the North Tropical Coast and Tablelands, Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders, and Herbert and Lower Burdekin Forecast Districts. 🕖 Issued: 7:35 AM, Sunday, 2 February 2025 🌧️ EXTREME WEATHER UNFOLDING ACROSS NORTHEAST QUEENSLAND 🌧️ 💨 Weather Situation: An elongated low-pressure system embedded in the monsoon trough is currently positioned over the southern Cape York Peninsula
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Wild storms swept through Townsville this afternoon, leaving a trail of chaos and even unsettling the local crocodiles. In an unusual sight, a crocodile was caught on video floating along the side of a flooded road. The video, credited to Benny Jay, captures the surreal aftermath of the storms that brought heavy rain and flash flooding to the region. Video credit Benny Jay - Everything Townsville (page). | Oz Industries Forecasting Weather Oz
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The latest GFS 15.3.2025 00Z run reinforces the widespread rainfall potential 🌧️🌏 across the nation, with a pronounced focus on tropical 🌴 and eastern coastal regions 🌊. Notably, rainfall signals extend deep into the interior and south ⛰️🌾, highlighting the expansive nature of this event. A key feature of this outlook is the acceleration of rainfall potential from the 18th onwards 📅, aligning precisely with the onset of the next major cycle 🔄—a pivotal event that has been consistently fla
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🌧️ Long Range Outlook – Major Weather Cycle Continues into April There remains strong multi-model alignment between the ECMWF, ECMWF AI, and GFS extended forecasts as we approach week one of April. As first identified in long-range forecasts back in September 2024, we are now well into the heart of a long-duration major weather cycle spanning from 18 March to around 7 April. This event has brought nationwide rainfall potential, in stark contrast to previous periods where extreme weather was lar
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Mount Louisa Townsville currently | Oz Industries Forecasting Weather Oz
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Weather discussion. A cloud band is on the rise through the northern interior, while a coastal trough brews in the northern Coral Sea. We’re nearing the peak of this latest weather cycle—late April into early May holds the spotlight. The question now: will the NE trough bring a final burst of rain—or are we witnessing the seasonal flip that shuts it all down? Meanwhile, I’m diving back into the long-range charts today, starting with the September 2025 forecast. Plenty to unpack—stay tuned! | Oz
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Black River | Oz Industries Forecasting Weather Oz
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🌧️ Incredible Rainfall Across the North! 🌧️ Over 200mm has fallen across parts of the Kimberley into the NT interior, with both official and private stations confirming the deluge. This comes as the Northwest Cloudband surges east, marking the start of the June National Wet Period 🌩️ ➡️ The current system will continue streaming into Queensland and northern NSW, while the next major feature hits WA from May 29th, bringing follow-up rainfall into SA and the south. 🔁 A series of frontal system
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High-Energy Period: 8th–12th February 🌩️ Tropical cyclone genesis is underway to the northwest off the Kimberley coast, with soon-to-be Tropical Cyclone Zelia expected to strengthen into a severe tropical cyclone. Landfall is likely near the Pilbara Coast around the 12th of February. Meanwhile, renewed heavy to intense rainfall is expected across northeast Queensland as an embedded low within the monsoon trough tracks eastward across the Gulf Country and northeastern interior, before shifting o
19.2K viewsFeb 9, 2025
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OK, Latest satellite. OMA continues to creep west. (not one model run in the systems history has been remotely accurate-take the models with a grain of salt). I expect this to continue until land fall and into March. In previous posts i had a few systems into March, this is likely the same one moving slowly. (i have repeatedly written of a system in the Gulf, this is likely OMA as the timing would be off for a second system now) In previous posts i have written that something will impact the coa
13.4K viewsFeb 16, 2019
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Long Range Forecast High Energy Period 18-24th has kicked in — and it’s delivering. East: Upper low and coastal trough driving widespread storms and heavy coastal rain (50–150 mm possible along the NSW/SEQ coast) into the eastern interior. West: Frontal system pushing inland with 5–50 mm across the greater southwest from the Gascoyne to the South East. North: Fire danger remains very high to extreme in the Top End with dry E/SE flow. We’ve broken down the full rainfall outlook state by state — i
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🌦 Sunday Afternoon Weather Update — April 6th, 2025 🌦 Transitioning from Historic Flooding to April’s Final Tropical Events Welcome to your Sunday afternoon update, where we reflect on one of the most significant weather periods of the season — the major national cycle from March 18th to April 7th, which brought widespread and ongoing flooding across northeastern Australia. This historic event was forecast by Oz Industries Forecasting as early as September 2024, once again demonstrating the po
16.9K viewsApr 6, 2025
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🔮 March Major Cycle: High-Energy Period - Cyclone Watch! 🌪️⚡ From March 18th, High Energy returns and drives the establishment of the NW Monsoon, setting the stage for cyclone formation! 🌊🌪️ Two key systems are on the radar—one in the west and one in the east—as the major cycle extends into early April. Expect very wet conditions and high-impact weather developing from mid-month onward! 🌧️⚡ 🔹 Know the future of the weather! 🔹 🔮✨ @ozindustriesforecasting.com ✨🔮 | Oz Industries Forecastin
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🎥 This Afternoon’s Weather Video – March Major Cycle Update & Review 28.3.2025 Today’s video delivers a detailed recap of the ongoing major weather event impacting the greater east of the nation—part of the long-anticipated March Major Cycle (18 March – 7 April 2025). We outline the sequence of atmospheric events that led to this widespread system, including the interaction between the inland trough, monsoonal moisture, and upper-level support, which together have produced extensive rainfall an
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Weather discussion - rain - cyclones | Oz Industries Forecasting Weather Oz
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🌧️ Monthly Snapshot Update 🌦️Model trends continue to indicate a focus on rainfall across eastern, northern, and western regions, predominantly along the coast and extending into adjacent coastal interiors. 🌿📅 Key Developments:5th–7th January: Tropical cyclone genesis is likely within this window, potentially initiating vorticity regions in the northeast and Gulf areas. 🌪️Any tropical feature that forms is expected to adopt a western-biased track, with associated rainfall favouring the nort
1.2K viewsJan 3, 2025
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