Boosters of prediction markets say they are more accurate than any other form of forecasting. Maybe sometimes. But on the question of whom President Donald Trump would choose as the next chair of the ...

Viral Bitcoin price predictions often fail because markets respond to liquidity and macro forces, not individual authority. High intelligence does not translate into consistent market timing or price ...

Via Kite & Key Media-- Experts have been making confident predictions about the future of energy for over a century — and they’ve often been spectacularly wrong. Here’s why. In 1977, the White House ...

(via Kite & Key) Experts have been making confident predictions about the future of energy for over a century — and they’ve often been spectacularly wrong. Here’s why.