Sometimes the odds tell a big part of the story, and that is the case for this encounter. Despite an inferior record, Toledo is a 3.5-point road favorite over Miami on Wednesday night. Furthermore, the tale of the tape suggests that the spread may be too narrow.

When the second round of College Football Playoff Rankings were released on Tuesday, Miami found itself slotted as the top team in the ACC. Because of the placement, the Hurricanes were mocked into CFP bracket projections and graphics as the projected ACC champion as the 11-seed.